After adjusting Patrick Mahomes' Stats removing outliers to project the future, he heavily regresses to around the level of Dak. In the last two seasons, Mahomes has a TD% of 8.68%. However, the league average last year was 4.8%. If you adjust his TD% to 5%, still above LA, he goes from throwing 57 TDs in his last 18 games to only 32.85. I'll be generous and give him 33. Now, let's adjust his passer rating. It goes from 116.5 to only 104.3 by just adjusting his TD% to normally above average. Later on, I will adjust it further to take yards into account. Next, we have to account for him passing more than league average. He has 657 pass attempts over 18 games. The LA is 35.5/game, which equates 639, around a 2.7% reduction. Mahomes also has a flukey 9.01 Y/A, which can be adjusted to 8 (still above LA) based on the league average of 7.5. So we can estimate that over a 16 game season, his adjusted yardage is (6397.5)/1816 = 4544 yards.
Now I will adjust his passer rating again based on these 16 games
>WHAT DOES THIS TELL US? It tells us that Mahomes' perceived success in the league is largely inflated by unsustainable, wildly outlier stats in his 18 games as perceived elite talent. When you adjust for the future by bringing down his outlier stats, he regresses heavily to a slightly above average QB of 2018 Dak tierdom.
Based refs saving the chief and demoralizing the ratbirds.
Elijah Hill
>memehomes gets to stare down a receiver streaking straight down the field >no defender anywhere near him >WOW MAHOMIE SO GOOD KERMIT MAN!!!!!!!!!!!!!! yikes desu
Jack Peterson
Harbaugh Bros getting blown out this weekend confirmed
we are literally the underdogs in this game you fucking retard
Grayson Davis
Jesus Christ getting absolutely bootyblasted. Exactly what the ravens deserve for their shit playcalling
Adrian Myers
OOOOHHHHHHHHHHHHHH
Nathaniel Morales
if you're 22 with a wife you're a fucking boomer. i'm 22 and i smash so much pussy every week it'd make your head spin. i have two bitches coming over for a threesome during half time and later tonight i'm going to fuck another bitch.
Henry Cox
Gayvens EXPOSED
Samuel Reed
Cannot fucking WAIT for TB12 to rip up these meme team in the playoffs lmfao
Can someone redpill me on why the Ravens are playing like a bunch of pussies? I know they played shit teams the first two weeks, but still, I thought there would be more deep balls from Jackson..
I know you were lead on by a bunch of retarded niggers for the first two weeks but lamar jackson cant throw the ball to people that actually have a defender on them. Go back and look at all his TD passes from the first two weeks. More than half of them go to guys with literally fucking no one around them, its insane
Ravens don't look so good when they aren't playing trash teams
Isaac Lewis
they can't be stopped
Cameron Hall
why is everyone a literal nigger in that NFL Shop commercial?
Isaac Ross
Tom Brady on his way to an easy 7th ring.
Daniel Hughes
They do this shit every week Every single game is the game where mahomes gets exposed and the chiefs get upset Guess what? It never fucking happens The Patriots are the only team capable of beating us this year
HAHAHAHAHA. just woke up and so glad to see the ravens getting btfo. I told everyone lamar was a meme that couldn't beat any actual contender. Sure he will btfo
Aaron Wood
I used to know a furry and tbqhwy he probably jerked off to things like mascots
I don't get the joke. Can somebody please explain this?
Luke Thomas
Jackson wants to be Mahomes so bad lmao. I bet he's got a dakimakura with cum stains all over it lmfao
John Richardson
I am hoping Kauffman gets moved downtown like the Royals have been larping for years and they demolish the older stadium and put a /comfy/ hotel there with plenty of bars/restaurants.
Gavin Nguyen
>all passes on that drive were to receivers that were covered >no completions
lmao the "cant throw to covered receivers" meme isnt even a meme
What's wrong with the Ravens? I thought they were an unstoppable juggernaut after beating such great teams like the Cards and Dolphins.
Parker Butler
(formerly Chuck)
Thomas Butler
>humphrey ded
game over
Xavier Sullivan
jesus christ the ratbirds suck. it makes me laugh how ratbirds fans were talking about how they're gonna win the afc north after blowing out the dolphins and barely beating the cards. Lamar is a shit qb and the ravens are going 7-9.
Thomas Sanchez
Sneed Feed and seed Formerly chuck (fuck and suck)
Logan Thompson
It's a uniquely Yea Forums meme like Var Sinson is on Yea Forums
Jason Kelly
You see, Sneeds Feed n Seed Formerly Chuck is an ingenious play on words that makes it come to the readers mind that if that way of alliteration stayed the same under Chucks ownership, it would indeed be, Chuck's Fuck n Suck.
Isaiah Perez
deh The name "Sneed's Feed and Seed (Formerly Chuck's)" implies that the store used to be called "Chuck's Feed and Seed" which is funny because "Chuck" doesn't rhyme with the other words like "Sneed" does
Kevin Foster
>BOWSER >SNEED Aight, Ravens, you got some fun names i'll admit.
Gabriel Russell
Is the Lamar hype already over?
Colton Reyes
>his team traded up to draft lameme sackson in the first round zoz
Ayden Stewart
I know this might be hard for you to understand, but some people actually go out on saturday nights to listen to bands perform and drink alcohol.
Nicholas Cook
You're honestly the worst person on this board and I'm a Ravens fan.
Kevin Anderson
How is Sammy Watkins such a non-factor even after Hill's injury?
why does everyone always fall for that shit, it can't all be ironic
Mason Martin
why would some shit nigger qb get hype after beating two shitty teams. all he had to do was not take a shit on the field and he would have beat the dolphins and cards.
harrison butker more like harrison buttlicker lmfao
Mason Butler
Why would he let it run all the way down right before the snap, then call the timeout? smoothbrain play there
Caleb Rogers
God I love Andy's clock management
Camden Jackson
10 touchbacks
Isaac Myers
>this clock management What the hell is this?
James Roberts
still won't change the fact that the ratbirds are going 6-10
Eli Turner
You must be new to Andy Reid
Joshua Morales
There was a man named Chuck who ran a brothel. His brother Sneed (a man of fatih) bought the business from Chuck and turned it into a humble seed store.
My girlfriend says she's open to a threesome with her bisexual friend who's currently dating a lesbian, which means a fffm foursome is within the realm of possibility for me They live out of town and I'm pretty sure she's bullshitting about the whole thing though. A man can dream...
David Cruz
games finna bouta turn into a shootout since the chiefs cant play D
Brody Sanchez
Have fun losing to the Pats again with your garbage secondary
Tyler Jones
Everyone keeps saying he's "invited to the cookout", I must be way whiter than I thought because I have absolutely no idea what that means.
Kayden Roberts
>playing a high school team >up by 4 we all know why you're really here
the cookout is where entrepenaurial blacks make their crack from cocaine. It's a very important part of African American culture
Noah Miller
beautiful, should share it with /ck/
Thomas Sanders
it just means niggers like him 'the cookout' is like valhalla but for niggers and people who let them nig
Ryder Gonzalez
The Pats have an easy schedule this year so I hope when they play KC they get BTFO
Tyler Campbell
For sure my man Lamar is an elite qb who will win a min of 5 owls
Carter Campbell
Hurst getting btfo'd today
Christian Powell
Im sure it will be a heated matchup of who can funnel more cash into the reffing team
Hunter Hill
oh duh yea we have an elite run game >harbaugh
Jose Ross
INGRAM
Kayden Scott
serialkiller/10
Owen Jenkins
How long until sjws start bitching on twitter about chiefs fans wearing those Mahomes headbands?
Brayden Jackson
NICE RUN DEFENSE
Jaxon Reed
Absolutely sad by the defensive front right now. Gotta have more intensity. D-backs also need to swarm to tackles and not just let one guy try to make the tackle at a time
Daniel Price
Who are you implying will relocate kek? Won't be the Chiefs.
Benjamin Rivera
Nice RB taking direct snaps
Charles Long
>INGRAM punching chiefs logo
ABSOLUTELY FUCKING DISGUSTING
Cooper Watson
good run, rats
Nolan Jones
well if the chiefs are gonna sell out for the pass every play might as well run it
>ingram scores TD, proceeds to punch Chiefs logo. Does this nigger know what the score is?
Gabriel Hernandez
>lameme
nice lights queer
Gavin James
>entirely give up on throwing since QB is ass >it works
4d chess I guess.
Jaxson Carter
>Blacks like him cause he cucked them by getting a black gf >loves him now and is part of their community why dont more of you white mericunt cucks do this? i would be swimming in ebony pussy
Thomas Scott
this Tbh >beat up on 3 of the worst teams in the NFL >one that is literally tanking for picks >another starting their 3rd stringer qb >WE WUZ 19-0!!!!!1
How much longer do you guys think Mahomes is going to stay with his ugly ass wh*Te girl? Once Russell Wilson got famous, he ditched his tator hog for Ciara.
Julian Cruz
My gf always jokes that she's going to have sex with other people if I don't have sex with her enough
Cameron Martinez
>McCoy balling out
James Gutierrez
Name an uglier person in the NFL. Protip; you can't.
Baltimore win this. Rushing game too strong in this weather.
Jason Morris
You've never seen a black person in real life have you?
Mason Rodriguez
They colonized them, they didn't father their sheboon offspring, and they could do so without consequence as it should be now it would mean child support or a lifetime of being with a nig
Andrew Gomez
never get married kids.
Jack Scott
>Memeefs fans think they’ll even score a touchdown against the Pats iron curtain
god what an ugly whore, mahomes needs to get a mixed qt
Brody Phillips
Chainsaws don’t need to be frozen, friend
Chase Ramirez
Lmao I've had sex like 4 times this weekend
Joshua Garcia
I'm legit worried
Jacob Carter
Brady just threw a fucking dime to Dorsett. Holy fuck he's still got it at 42
Lucas Barnes
>letting your chainsaw spoil quicker
Joseph Morgan
I'll fuck one of those wordly spiritual black girls that look like pic related but the black women we have here are fat, loud, and trashy. All the cute black girls live abroad in like South Africa or France.
Fake. They don't air boner ads anymore during NFL games.
Ethan Foster
>keeps saying sneed haha sneed haha
Juan Green
that's a man
Alexander Baker
Why is it that black people commit the overwhelming percentage of robberies in the USA, yet robbers on commercials are always white?
Alexander Williams
ah, double hand jackin it. an aristocrat
Luke Murphy
ah yes black men are quite know for raising their niglets , the thing you retards dont realize is all black women are tsundre as fuck. They act like this because of slavery and all the bad history but because they are whores like all women all them secretly want a white man to impregnate them
William Butler
did the dick in your ass or mouth feel better?
Liam Martin
I tried with my wife this morning but she said she needed to get ready to go pick up groceries.
why are you in every fucking thread demanding qbs throw into coverage?
Austin Baker
based faggot
Carson Jones
HOLY MOLY
Isaiah Torres
MAHOMES CANNOT
CANNOT
KEEP GETTING AWAY WITH IT
Sebastian Rodriguez
of course i have
Sebastian Johnson
Ive been married for 26 years. I was geting laid damn near daily the whole time then she hit menopause and my only supply of pussy for the last 3 decades dried up hard. Im 51 and now im jacking off like im fucking 14 again life is bad right now.
Tyler Sanders
>system QB meme >in a Chiefs thread
Sebastian Bell
Consternation
Henry Thompson
>all black women are tsundre as fuck there might be something to this
Ryder Reyes
I used to like Mahomes but he is doing a lot of complaining, is he always like this?
If by the new Peyton Manning you mean he’ll have two or three good seasons and then fizzle out because he’s a system QB and therefore not at all like Peyton Manning then yes
Adam Lewis
Nice refjob
Jackson Barnes
HOW DARE YOU INTERCEPT MAHOMES, PENALTY!!!
Kayden Young
There's so much humor in this post >ravens fan posting trump >does nothing but whine after talking shit >whines about whining
OH NONONONONONONONONONONONONONONONONONO BALTIPOOR E X P O S E D HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA
Hunter Scott
Chiefs will go 16-0, refs are on their side
Connor Martinez
>chiefs do a hold >make up something to bail them out >the ravens don't even have a player with the number called how much did this crew bet on the chiefs?
Ravens would have scored a TD on that drive with the BS Snead holding call. Also give the refs 7 more on that phantom horsecollar on Mahomes in the 1st.
Dominic Turner
Watching this while high. Holy shit the flags have me tripping
William Butler
What is kirk cousins problem?
Joshua Robinson
shut the fuck up you British idiot, you cucks know nothing about the nfl, its embarrassing
Josiah Howard
Chiefs 30 Undisciplined Football Players with an Overmatched Coach 13 FTFY
Oliver Cox
> dat sad GOOK Gayvens fan
Cameron Moore
when did smeth put up 50 TDs (and likely to put up back to back 50+ TD seasons?)
we all know you're gonna lose to the pats the moment you don't get these bullshit calls in the playoffs
Chase Kelly
Is Lamar Jackson elite?
Nicholas Campbell
Andy ried coaches the chiefs.
Liam Thomas
WAIT GUYS LOOK AT THEIR NOSES
tHEY HAVE THE EXACT SAME FUCKING NOSE
Josiah Cook
you can seethe and call any quarterback who puts up great stats a stat padder, but if there's an actual statpadder in the NFL, it's kirk cousins. Dude cannot beat .500+ teams
Henry Martinez
>supports the continued neutering of football just so they can see video game stats every game
Yes he does, good job buddy, I'm glad your school taught you how to read and use context clues
Hudson Rogers
Idk if the chiefs will have enough money for the refs in the playoffs if they keep spending like this in the regular season
Samuel Lopez
>Iggles
Samuel Gutierrez
The required amount of tape is 2 years its science
Ian Watson
>Defending these "flags" Cannot wait to hear you bitch when these calls are against you when the Chiefs play the Pats.
Mason Watson
he'll unironically (without a shred of irony) retire as the GOAT. Not even a choofs fan. In fact I hope he leaves that cursed organization just so he can actually win rings.
Robert Brown
>the continued neutering of football I miss the 1920's too bro
Asher Sullivan
Hey guys I just got back from a 3some with 4 10/10’s. What did I miss?
I wouldn't mind producing a few QBs with Mahomes' mom
Christopher Powell
So I'm guessing Mahomes does not know who his father is?
Jace Myers
wow, an unbiased, based, and reasonable take from a tripcode. Shocking
Oliver Campbell
this unironically but I am still going to shitpost
Owen Bell
4th quarter that means it's time to
PUT THE HAMMER DOWN
Nolan Lewis
Token decks are bullshit Very weak against boardwipes
David Gray
congrats chiefs the guy who is never right agrees with you
Lincoln White
RECYCLE
Ryan Myers
His dad is a former baseball pitcher you racist scum
Samuel Turner
His father was an MLB pitcher for 11 years. That's how Mahomes has his arm strength and competitiveness
Josiah Hill
Lamar playing like absolute shit. Social Media is going nuts because he broke somebodies ankles down by 20 LOL Is social media covering for his lack of production?
Anthony Adams
That horsecollar was horseshit
Julian Carter
>aaand lamar CHUCKs the ball to SNEED and seals the 2nd SEED with a touchdown!!
Luke Bennett
Is he a running back again?
Jason Moore
Jackson wants to be Mahomes so fucking bad lmao, every time he's on camera he's staring at 15 drooling and inappropriately fondling his crotch.
Juan King
They are always going to call that shit
Matthew Flores
LMAO DRAGON
Isaiah Butler
SETH ROBERTS
Bentley Thompson
lucky catch by roberts
Carson Cook
>waaaa no fair refs you have to save us!!
guarateed the refs take this away from the ravens. The fix is in.
Gabriel Jones
lol OPI but thats OK we still up by like 2 possesions
Hudson Jackson
AYO LEXA PLAY DAT SONG DAT GO WOOO WOO
Jason Lee
chiefs fans are super cringy mang
Liam Cox
Retarded made up statistic
Adrian Hernandez
Wooo only a 10 point game.....
Isaiah Anderson
>Methsouri calling others poor
How...rich
Isaiah Baker
>ravens keep going for 2 Why?
Carter Gomez
lel
Connor White
Nah senpai, you gotta call horse collars every time. You can break someone's neck with that shit.
Carter Martinez
Justin Tucker fantasy owners on suicide watch lmao
Jayden Lopez
because mo points= mo win easy maff nigga wa 9+10
Kayden Anderson
The fix is in, refs working for chiefs
Liam Thomas
I wasn't aware you get redos on kicks like it's a rec volleyball serve.