i want you to know that i will be laughing at you for losing your entire weeks wages
Logan Lee
wrong❌
Jace Richardson
my belly hurts too, did you have too much dairy? sometimes in the mornings i fart on an empty stomach and i can feel a little poop pinching at my sphincter
could be a sign of an underlying disorder if your farts come out a certain way. would you mind posting your farts on vocaroo so i can see if its more than just poor farting genetics and not some gastrointestinal issue?
Xavier Bennett
Premier league want United in the CL for more customer £££
That's the classic rebuttal of the Martingale system.
Not sure how that applies here. Especially since the over/under markets are effectively anchored to the win/draw/lose market. The anchoring is tentatively sound much of the time but it's still an anchoring and in these circumstances, the value call is to oppose the anchor.
>had a massive plate of linguine two hours ago >have eaten two bags of crisps since the match started >just put a couple of pasties in the oven for half time
Any lads got some good tips for staving off hunger?
Leo Thompson
Gambler's fallacy is pretty straightforward mate. And it's not just some arbitrary thing only relevant in debates. It's a thing that people learn in 8th grade
Gavin Bailey
>tfw 0-0 draw It’s the most likely result knowing our luck this season
haha would be fucking funny if the queen dies tomorrow haha
Josiah Wood
Nigsy Hustler
Brayden Rodriguez
Jj on 400k/week
Noah Phillips
United fans were supporting spurs against Liverpool even though they’re fighting for top 4, truly are scummy bitter cunts, hope we win the league and united don’t get top 4
Easton Roberts
piss off
Cameron Campbell
Newcastle will make a comeback?
Your fortune: Reply hazy, try again
John Rogers
still going to keikaku
Henry Green
and bring on whom? He's Newcastle's best chance of scoring
Dominic Martinez
hazy
Oliver James
More fiber and protein, fewer carbs. Consider trying psyllium husk. You might also not be drinking enough water.
Andrew Brown
they give 300k to Mesut "the fortnite smasher" Ozil instead
Landon Cruz
Well the show says the Spanish were the dominant force of the world, and i've never read much about that time beyond Blackadder. English have always been pirates i guess
Nicholas Miller
Great assist by Yedlin
John Smith
who else watches just to see arsenal fail again?
Easton Ross
Hazy
Benjamin Bailey
the best way i can try and explain my point is by looking at the odds they offer you for coin tosses or something where it is LITERALLY 50/50. i'm not talking about "uhh this game is 50/50" i'm talking about a literal cointoss that bet365 can let you bet on
i.e. pregame bet of who will win the cointoss in a cricket game.
the fact that the odds are 1.83-ish tells you they've got an 8% margin on a 50/50 bet. that's staring us in the face.
it's more subtle when they calculate odds for sports results and the like, but god damn they definitely have an edge baked into the cake. i'm about £30k down in sports betting in total but just can't stop
i'm on arsenal -1.25 for this game
Adrian Hill
Why is Ramsey leaving for free if he’s Arsenal’s most important player?
Jordan Williams
>Rule BRITANNIA, Britannia RULES the WAVES
What more proof do you need?
Leo Phillips
there was nothing he could do
Evan Jackson
It's not piracy when we do it desu
Christopher Flores
Hazy
Hudson Perry
He needs shipped out too
Angel Rogers
>arsecucks
Samuel Ward
haha imagine not giving him that money because you already gave another, worse player that kind of money, haha imagine
Asher Gomez
Your fortune: Godly Luck
Brody Flores
Mate, gambler's fallacy is literally only applicable to random shit, not to stuff like sports where you can analyse and shit. And guess what, I bet you learned in 8th grade that a coin toss is 50/50, right? Well it literally isn't. It's 49/51 with 51 being the face of the coin facing upwards when you flip it. Welcome to maths, bitch. Fallacies literally appear everywhere, there's over 300 (THREE HUNDRED) fallacies.
Fibre is indigestible, you literally just shit it out and only water you should drink is spring water, tap water/filtered water leeches minerals from you because your body can’t absorb it so uses own minerals for absorption
Jaxon Reyes
Rolled 92 (1d100)
number is when the equaliser goal happen
Ryan Thompson
why do these cunts in arsenal try so many close-range flick combinations to break the last line of defense just fucking use a proper winger or an attacking mid to fucking stretch the newcastle defensive line and whip in near far post crosses like City does CAM ON this is getting dreadful to watch
Not used to seeing >us passing the ball so fast tqbh
Kevin Evans
>a coin toss is 50/50, right? Well it literally isn't. It's 49/51 with 51 being the face of the coin facing upwards when you flip it. Welcome to maths, bitch. I don't know the name of this fallacy, but if there isn't one already maybe "retard fallacy" is suitable.
>guess what, I bet you learned in 8th grade that a coin toss is 50/50, right? Well it literally isn't. It's 49/51 with 51 being the face of the coin facing upwards when you flip it. Welcome to maths, bitch.
ping-ponging the ball quickly back and forth or sideways without having a third runner to receive the ball to break the opposing line is fucking useless its genuinely frustrating to see how many channels are open for arsenal to send a player through the newcastle press into space to get the ball to attackers but it never happens because arsenal are poop
Jaxson King
I never said it was a fallacy, I'm saying that you going 'hur dur 8th gradde ecks dee' is retarded because you learn incorrect stuff in 8th grade. Again, a coin toss is not 50/50.
1. If the coin is tossed and caught, it has about a 51% chance of landing on the same face it was launched. (If it starts out as heads, there's a 51% chance it will end as heads). 2. If the coin is spun, rather than tossed, it can have a much-larger-than-50% chance of ending with the heavier side down. Spun coins can exhibit "huge bias" (some spun coins will fall tails-up 80% of the time). 3. If the coin is tossed and allowed to clatter to the floor, this probably adds randomness. 4. If the coin is tossed and allowed to clatter to the floor where it spins, as will sometimes happen, the above spinning bias probably comes into play. 5. A coin will land on its edge around 1 in 6000 throws, creating a flipistic singularity. 6. The same initial coin-flipping conditions produce the same coin flip result. That is, there's a certain amount of determinism to the coin flip. 7.A more robust coin toss (more revolutions) decreases the bias.
There. Literally written by Stanford academics. You're arguing with smart people.
Jayden Anderson
fucking yedlin gives me an aneurysm every fucking week I swear to god
HE'S SO FUCKING SHIT WHAT DOES HE CONTRIBUTE
Parker Campbell
Did Ramshit curse the Jagger?
Josiah Wilson
>maths >s
Kevin Gomez
>It's 49/51 with 51 being the face of the coin facing upwards when you flip it No it's not. In an effort to get my class to become interested in maths, my teacher once demonstrated that 2*2=5 in like 3rd grade or something, but that's not actually true. It's just a mathematical trick, an illusion.
Jaxson Reyes
>Fibre is indigestible And? We're talking about hunger here. It being indigestible doesn't mean it doesn't affect satiety.
Jayden Green
How are you doing this?
Camden Ramirez
>Math(ematic)S >M(utt)S
Lincoln Nguyen
yep, your much better off just thinking of a number instead of flipping a coin
your brain is way more complicated than a fucking coin
Jaxon Fisher
Holy shit Ritchie
Adam Anderson
please show some respect, he is the best in the "pacey mulatto manlet fullback" position we have, all other fullbacks we have are kids or slow whi*tebois
Emery might just be the slimiest manager in football.🙁
Joshua Jackson
what the actual fuck?
Christian Carter
Do you watch him week in week out? He lacks every fundamental skill. Can't cross, can't shoot, can't defend intelligently, can barely control the ball.
Josiah Scott
wow. terribly offside
Ian Jones
This is just a bunch of retarded mathematicians who are pressed to release a certain amount of papers a year in order not to lose funding. You have no idea what kind of retarded shit you can find in scientific paper databases.
Jayden Gomez
Muhammad you did not invent english
John Taylor
Click "Like!" for a Ramsey hattrick. "Upvote!" for a Mustafi career-ending injury
Gamblers fallacy, as far as I know, refers to an inanimate object holding memory. In this instance, Arsenal v Newcastle at the Emirates, we are not betting on inanimate objects rather a bunch of human beings affected by variables such as atmosphere and targets.
In this specific instance, the bookmakers* priced the over/under market with (in my opinion) too much credence on the gulf in class without respecting the nuances in play here tonight such as Newcastle's cageiness and Arsenal's generally being boring at home. The odds I took were not an accurate reflection of the situation hence it being a value bet. Even in the current situation, unders is trading on the exchanges at roughly evens (2.0) so my 7/5 (2.4) still represents value.
*There are no bookmakers these days, just accountants who price accordingly against the exchanges.
It's more effective when done right i.e with correct disguise and timing - see messi. But PL players are usually just robots that spam it until luck makes one work
Nathan Perry
based ruining his own future user💯
Carson Young
oo takk takk, er det gode football spillere i norge?