Is Who Wants to be a Millionaire just a game of luck?
I mean, there's 33.34% chance of being right unless the person happen to know the answer, and lifelines can only get you so far into the game.
Let's say there are 15 questions with 4 choices each. Let's also say there are 3 lifelines: call-a-friend, 50-50, and ask-the-audience.
For each of the 15 questions, there is only 1 correct answer, and 3 incorrect answers, so immediately your chances are 1/3 = 33.34%. You can use each lifeline once. Using phone-a-friend, let's say gives you a 95% chance the person you call is correct. So 1 question is 95%. Similarly, we can say ask-the-audience gives you a 95% chance. Finally, 50-50 will remove 2 wrong answers, so you have 1 right answer and 1 wrong answer, so you basically know the answer. To recap:
4^15 is over a billion. Even with lifelines, the chances of making it through by random chance are very low.
Noah Stewart
>33.34% Not how it works, it decreases every time you advance to the next question, the odds of guessing 14 questions one after the other is not going to be anywhere near 33.34%
Brandon White
Wrong. There's 4 questions, so you have a 33.34% chance of getting it right
Luis Williams
A weaker man might be moved to re-examine his faith, if in nothing else at least in the law of probability.
Caleb Nguyen
>it decreases every time you advance to the next question no it resets
Henry Gray
You forgot to compound then chance to fail user, it's a 66% chance each time.
Justin Richardson
There aren't 4 questions though, it's 4 x 12 if you're going to assume your lifelines get you through
Julian Kelly
how is it a game of luck? when you take a multiple choice test is that a game of luck?? you either know the answer or not. the questions get harder as you go on
Thomas Torres
>you either know the answer or not. This is where luck comes in, kiddo. If there are four answers, there is 33.34% chance of knowing one of them.
>46% chance of winning I think your math might be a little bit off user, the real answer is 50% chance, either you win or you dont. Two outcomes = 50% not 46%
