I decided to do a little calculation to try and predict whether Endgame will overtake Avatar.
I used an assumed drop rate of 60% per week (the second week dropped 60.6%, but the third actually only dropped 56.6%, but I thought 60% was a good rough figure to work with).
By my calculation, Endgame should overtake Avatar during its 7th week (that's about three weeks from now).
What do you think, guys? Do you think Endgame will overtake Avatar?
Pic related is my calculation. At the end of the 7th week (that's three weeks from the end of this week), Endgame should theoretically have a higher gross.
But maybe the drop rate will be higher than 60% for the coming weeks, perhaps if I was better versed in movie finances then I might know that.
What do you think guys?
Probably will. Disney can always push it over if needed.
When Far from home comes out, it will probably give it the final little push to make it to the finish line.
Endgame is on track to finish with 2.8 billion, with a margin of +/- 25 million. So ~85% chance of beating Avatar.
It's going to drop harder because China stops showing it this Thursday and it will have too much competition in the next month which will reduce its screens.
Not sure what you mean by that.
Could do. Or maybe it will have the opposite effect, that everyone will see Far From Home instead of Endgame. But sure, it could cause people to rewatch Endgame.
That sounds like it could be plausible. Do you have a source for this figure?
>China stops showing it this Thursday
Didn't know that. Do you have a source for this?
Can you stretch that to 20 weeks (I believe that's how long Infinity War was in theaters) so we'll get an estimate of the final gross?
You guys are weird.
have sex