They say everytime a Targaryen is born the Gods flip a coin

their characters had the exact same arc, danny just took 8 seasons to do the same thing, which tells you alot about the writing.

It's as likely as ANY other outcome, but not as likely as EVERY other outcome, so you'd still be pretty fucking surprised to see it, as the odds for that precise result are astronomically low.

Show would have been better if every episode of every season was just him watching the Dothraki and their horses rape Dany. New horse for each episode.

No. Rhaegar was

"With this character's death, the thread of prophecy is severed. Restore a saved game to restore the weave of fate, or persist in the doomed world you have created."

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You want to come to a casino with me?

The white hair Targs are insane, the dark haired are not.

it just rhymes

Rhaegal sane, Viserys insane
Dany insane, Jon sane
boom a true fiddy/fiddy split

>Rhaegar-sane
>Viserys-retarded and probably insane
>Dany-insane
>Jon-sane

>dark haired Targaryans

Has there ever been one besides Jon Snow

This. I don't know why they haven't figured it out
Blonde people are evil, dark haired people are good

Gambler's fallacy.

Doubt sane would be the word. He was likely sociopathic and merciless, but nothing indicated that he would nonsensically snap and murder innocents for no reason.

Orys Baratheon

Baelor Breakspear

Viserys insane? What did he do that was insane? Dumb for trusting the Dothraki troglodytes but not insane

rhaegal - sane
drogon - insane
viserion - dragonsbane

Viserys was arrogant little shit, but hardly insane. He was feed up with being called "The Beggar King".

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best scene:
youtube.com/watch?v=lmoLLgKNvlI

>American education

any other outcome of 100 coin tosses*
and just as likely as any other outcome is equal distribution..

Compared to her now, of course he was. He never would have done that. Because he wanted to rule on his rightful kingdom more than anything, and you can't rule ashes and corpses. And more importantly, he wouldn't have let himself get attached to someone to the point of getting so upset by their deaths.
Both he and Joffrey would have been better Kings than Daenerys.

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All of the Baratheons. Orys was bastard half brother of Aegon.

>Its just as likely for a coin to land heads 100 times in a row as any other outcome.
retard

He's completely correct dummy

now that's what i call dunning-kruger effect

Daeron the Drunken was a ginger

Duncan had dark hair.

And then he had no more hair

Same but that’s gay

One of the best moments in the episode.

are you by any chance american,op?

I bet this poster was american

Yes, same for the Strong bastards.

Go back

I think there were some targs mixed wih martells with darker tones

viserys honestly didnt seem insane, he was just a narcissist

Pretend you have three targ siblings. One of them will grow up to be a good and just ruler, but the other two will go insane. You have to choose one to be king of westeros.
When you pick one, one of the others goes mental and they are killed. You can then either stick with your original choice, or choose the other remaining child.
Do you stick or swap Yea Forums?

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>rhaegal sane
>muh dragons must have 3 heads

baelor breakspear, valarr, and probably matarys

Yea Forums confirmed VERY low iq board

are Americans this dumb?

swap gives a higher chance so swap

Always swap.

Nah, Rhaegar was the sane one. Viserys and Dany the crazy ones. Same way Joffrey was crazy but Myrcella and Tommen weren't

what would of happened though if he had lived and stopped beating danys

>Its just as likely for a coin to land heads 100 times in a row as any other outcome.
Not if by outcome you mean what percentage of your 100 children are insane.

Dear god

rhaegar was white haired and he was fine

is this some kind of british irony ala Boaty McBoatface

implying tommens depression and myrcellas mandingo complex isnt insane both are forms of mental illness

Based. he and Dany were no different besides viserys not having a barbarian queen to marry

Rhaegar started all of this over some pussy fuck that coward

>Mandingo complex
whiter than you, el americano

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>no fun allowed bc muh probability class
Sure is reddit in here

>American education
No wonder why no other country has a Vegas counterpart.

Have sex

>no fun allowed
op was literally more correct than all the retards below him

The three Velaryon princes of Queen Rhaenyra were dark haired.

Aegon was the sane one, he just never showed up is all

dude was absolutely not sane. Dany just held in her bullshit for longer is all.

abusing your sister typically not a thing someone of healthybrains does especially if you need her help

You're wrong. 50/50 is far more likely.

>Because he wanted to rule on his rightful kingdom more than anything, and you can't rule ashes and corpses.
Isn't this exactly what danerys has been saying ever since her brother got his crown? Like, there was literally no reason for her to do what she did. She had the surrender, she had the city, the only person who could possibly put up a fight would lose to a damn dragon. Her actions make negative amounts of sense.

Dany doesn't care anymore about ruling the kingdom. she only wants revenge. Raze down everything and replace it with her people from Essos and the northeners, they are better than the KL fags anyway.

Just noticed Dany is wearing that exact same pin. I hope it was Viserys'.

You keep whining as if nations and people can't be wiped out off maps and get replaced with new nations and new people. Dany doesn't need the people of KL to rule, she can replace them, as for the city another one can be built on top of KL.

Honestly, I think George wrote that quote with the intent on disproving it later on. We're led to believe that Targaryens are some extremely willful people whose natures are absolutely unalterable. In reality, there may be a genetic predisposition to mental illness but the mental state of the Targaryens, like anyone else, is largely dependent on circumstances of upbringing, traumatic events, feelings of worth, etc.
The state of Targaryen "madness" is the result of things like rampant sycophantry, extreme haughtiness caused by their station in life and the fact that they're socialized to believe themselves as the children of destiny with Blood and Fire being the tools of their becoming.
Take a look at some of the later, great Targaryen monarchs: Daeron II, Aegon V, Jaehaerys II. These aren't the same heroic, willful warrior-kings that greatness implies. These are humble, self-aware and changeable men who benefited from considerate upbringings and the company of thoughtful people. I'm sure all three had their flaws, holes in their personality that made they're lives more difficult as well. They weren't born entirely good.
Now look at the description of The Mad King. There we no hints of his insanity in his youth. He was actually likeable, charismatic and generous. He was also arrogant, extremely sensitive to the constant, unwarranted praise given to him by his followers and increasingly ignorant of his councilors' concerns. This sounds a lot like the characterization of Daenerys.
And what of Rhaegar? He was described as being a great person by all accounts but he also believed so much in his prophetic destiny that he blown an already tense political situation into a destructive war, and when the time came, his destiny was ended cut short by Robert's warhammer. This was a man who cannot at all be described as entirely noble or unhinged by an honest judge.

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With Margerary guiding him by his dick Joffery could have been a good king.

Yep.He was just an asshole.

literal fucking retards
how fucking retarded do you have to be to believe that landing heads 5000 times in a row is as likely as landing it 2 times in a row
kys off the gene pool

you should say that any string of choices from {H,T} is equally likely, but the ratio of H : T is likely to be close to 50 : 50

If we ever get an Aegon POV its going to be just like Quentyn, so brainwashed into thinking hes the hero he'll think he is invincible.

Based TES poster

the chance that the sequence of coin flips
H H H H H H H H H H
happen is the same as the chance that the sequence of coin flips
H T H T H T H T H T
happens
the user that started talking used the word distribution when they meant sequence

Dumb cunt.

>Its just as likely for a coin to land heads 100 times in a row as any other outcome.
Yes, there are 2^100 equiprobable outcomes.
But the event of "getting exactly two heads" is a bunch of outcomes. The heads could be on the 2nd and 51st try, or the 1st and the 100th, etc. That's 100 choose 2 = 100*99/2 = 4950 to get it.
On the other hand, there is only one way to get 100 heads in a row. Same for 0 heads in 100 tries.
This makes "getting exactly two heads" 4950 more likely that "getting exactly 0 heads".

Getting half heads is 100 choose 50 which is approximately 10^28 = 10 000 million million million millions times more likely than getting 100 heads.

I never understood why swapping would lead to higher chance

>Aemon was a legitimately good man
>dies mentoring his family he never knew
How different could it have been if he ruled Westeros, Yea Forums?

worthless faggot

>he was feed up
Would he have been the Feed & Seed King?

tldr mothafucka

His maths wasn't even right either

this made me wonder if catelyn and lysa came from incest as well

he was a spoiled hothead

Never tell me the odds

what user said here is simply correct, and everyone laughing at him can't tell the difference between permutations and combinations

like salty milk

of any two Targaryen's picked, there is a 33% chance that both are evil
when you find out that one of two that you didn't pick is evil, that means that it is likely up to 66% that the other is not, because there are three possible configurations of any two Targaryens, which are {Good/Evil, Evil/Good and Evil/Evil}
so you're banking on picking either the Good/Evil or Evil/Good configuration

Monte Carlo? Casablanca? Americans just believe in centralised sin. We take all the evil.and concentrate it in one place so normal citizens dont have to see it

I think he knows what he's talking about, but he doesn't have the proper language to convey it. When he uses the word distribution he needs to specify what he means. If you think of the distribution of Targs in 100 he's wrong. If you think of the distribution of discrete outcomes he's right. When saying distribution normally you'd assume he means the former.

>aegon
>jaehaerys
>visery ii
>daeron ii
>maekar
>aegon v
>jaehaerys ii

fpbp
All he wanted to do is slip into the role as king to play a king. And an archetypical kig he would've been. If you treated him with respect he would've been happy, with scorn and he would've countered with rage DONE.
All he had to him was his family name and he wanted to live by that name. So sad those low IQ barbarians killed him. Their culture didn't care about name, but strength and that is what Viserys didn't have.

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it's clear what he meant and he was correct.

tell me what a distribution is user go ahead

But if we are talking about infinite repitions then it does equal eqal outcome and so 50/50

Why does he look like Loki?

fuck off fags go to /lgbt/

It was too late at that point, he broke beyond repair the moment he sold his mother's crown. He may have had moments where he would be decent, but he would never have been a good king and everyone knew it. If we assume he doesn't threaten Dany, Drogo will probably tolerate his presence for a time. I imagine Drogo dies in the same manner, although I can see Viserys trying to stop the ritual to save him. No matter that outcome, Dany was independent enough by that point to ignore his opinion outright. He either becomes a tag along on her journey same as Jorah, or dies early on since he's too stupid to live with his massive ego.

He was a massive asshole, but he's one of the more tragic background characters. The beggar king, selling his crown to feed his sister. He fell for the same blunder that several characters did, he let revenge and the quest for an iron chair consume him.

This is the dumbest shit I have ever seen posted on Yea Forums. Read a book, nigger.

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Rhaegar is an example of how expectations can cause a person to go insane. He grew up thinking he was the fulfillment of the Price that was Promised prophecy which was something that was first brought up to his great-grand Targaryen. He came to see his children as the fulfillment. Daenerys ended up with that burden. Targaryen mental stability was already being questioned at this point but the ominous messiah prophecy was the final nail in the coffin for the sanity of their house.

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i dont know what distribution is.

He died for Stark pussy. He was nice, he wasn't sane.

He really does doesn't he. I never noticed that.

Interesting number of truth

What I can say is that Viserys probably would have caused less bloodshed than show Dany, had he had access to her dragons and armies.

Not because he's more sane, but probably because he was less sane. He was a vicious entitled cunt who wanted the throne. He would have bumrushed King's Landing and taken it instead of dragging it out.

Now I'm sure he would enact retribution against the "usurpers", but I'm also sure some of the civilians would be smart enough to grovel at his feet and validate his delusion of secret toasts being made in his name.

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What's their point with Dany? Sure she would have been an awful queen but she went full madwoman.

Chaos reigns

What are you doing here Deku?

> the gods flip a coin

> seven gods

> flipping one single coin

Regardless, Jon is half Stark and them's some strong genes

all those (You)s and not a single person understood what this user meant. Probability aren't very relevant in real life situation unless you're dealing with possibility and impossibility.

I'm actually Arya wearing Toga's face disguised as Deku

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But what he said is correct. If a potental outcome is 50/50, that speaks only of individual outcomes. Not groups. So you could flip a coin 100 times and get exactly 50/50, but do it again and get 37/63. Again and get 99/1 and so on.

If you think that's not the case, then you are a literal retard.

Thats just stupid. If you flip a coin the odds of it being 99-1 heads is outlandish, virtually impossible
Its dumb as fuck to believe that

this guy looks like me, should i be having sex? would you say we're handsome?

He would be a graceful king. He would see his purpose to be the greatest and most loved king alive and he would shower the city in roses and gold and everyone would be happy and love him

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This is the best brainlet jack

Are you home schooled?

>virtually impossible
no it's not

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haha very funny fag
he'd clearly be the fuck and suck king

No, it would be 1/4

Okay, poindexter, we get it

The individual chance is 1/2, but the chance that all 4 in a row are sane isn't 1/2

Piece of shit hoe

Wow. Yeah, you are autist. It’s pottery you spergs.

This. For example if your first child is a boy (which is a 50% coinflip chance) that does not mean the next will be a girl for sure.

Brehs what is the God tax policy since they clearly have currency if they are flipping coins

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fancy that

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>sycophantry

Good post user.

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>what user said here is simply correct

no, it isn't. Because we don't treat every coin separately, retard. There is only one outcome with 100 heads but there is many with 50/50 heads.